Is there a decision theory which works as follows? (Is there much literature on decision theories given iterated dilemmas/situations?)
If my actual utility doesn’t match my expected utility, something went wrong. Whatever my past self could have done better in this kind of situation in order to make actual utility match the expected utility is what I should do right now. If the patch (aka lesson) mysteriously works, why it works isn’t an urgent matter to attend to, although further optimization may be possible if the nature of the patch (aka lesson) is better understood.
Is there a decision theory which works as follows? (Is there much literature on decision theories given iterated dilemmas/situations?)