I’m not sure this is an exact match to your question but it sounds like maybe what you’re looking for is something like Solomonoff induction.
In Bayes the subjectivity come from choosing priors. Solomonoff induction includes an objective way to calculate the priors (see also Kolmogorov complexity). Unfortunately it isn’t actually computable—I was asking a kind of similar question last year which has some answers about this.
I asked a follow-up question regarding complexity whose answers were super useful to my understanding of these kinds of things—particularly the sequence which johnswentworth wrote.
That was really interesting. Some of it was a little too technical for me, but hopefully I can spend some time learning some of the parts that threw me and see if I can figure out exactly how close that is.
My first impression is that would be the microscopic view of one part of the whole model. I actually had in mind something much more basic, but where that level of complexity could be added slowly as the overall model is built. It’s a kind of never-ending project that improves it’s accuracy as more is added to it.
In one imaginary iteration of this, I just hire people to do that level of work for me and tell me what the answer is.
I’m not sure this is an exact match to your question but it sounds like maybe what you’re looking for is something like Solomonoff induction.
In Bayes the subjectivity come from choosing priors. Solomonoff induction includes an objective way to calculate the priors (see also Kolmogorov complexity). Unfortunately it isn’t actually computable—I was asking a kind of similar question last year which has some answers about this.
I asked a follow-up question regarding complexity whose answers were super useful to my understanding of these kinds of things—particularly the sequence which johnswentworth wrote.
That was really interesting. Some of it was a little too technical for me, but hopefully I can spend some time learning some of the parts that threw me and see if I can figure out exactly how close that is.
My first impression is that would be the microscopic view of one part of the whole model. I actually had in mind something much more basic, but where that level of complexity could be added slowly as the overall model is built. It’s a kind of never-ending project that improves it’s accuracy as more is added to it.
In one imaginary iteration of this, I just hire people to do that level of work for me and tell me what the answer is.
Anyway, thanks.