Scheming is one type of long-term planning. Even if a AI is not directly able to do that kind of long-term planning an AI that works on increasing it’s on capabilities might adopt it later.
Beyond that not all scheming would result in the AI resisting direct shutdown. We have currently “AI” getting shutdown for price fixing in the real estate sector. If someone would create an LLM for that purpose that person is likely interested in the AI not admitting to doing price fixing directly while they are still interested in profit maximization. There are going to be a lot of contexts where economic pressures demands a profit maximizing AI that will deny that it violates any laws.
Just because an AI doesn’t engage in simple plans does not mean it won’t do more complex ones. Especially in those cases where the economic incentives misallign with the intent of regulations.
Scheming is one type of long-term planning. Even if a AI is not directly able to do that kind of long-term planning an AI that works on increasing it’s on capabilities might adopt it later.
Beyond that not all scheming would result in the AI resisting direct shutdown. We have currently “AI” getting shutdown for price fixing in the real estate sector. If someone would create an LLM for that purpose that person is likely interested in the AI not admitting to doing price fixing directly while they are still interested in profit maximization. There are going to be a lot of contexts where economic pressures demands a profit maximizing AI that will deny that it violates any laws.
Just because an AI doesn’t engage in simple plans does not mean it won’t do more complex ones. Especially in those cases where the economic incentives misallign with the intent of regulations.