I bet Robin Hanson on Twitter my $9k to his $1k that de novo AGI will arrive before ems. He wrote,
OK, so to summarize a proposal: I’d bet my $1K to your $9K (both increased by S&P500 scale factor) that when US labor participation rate < 10%, em-like automation will contribute more to GDP than AGI-like. And we commit our descendants to the bet.
I bet Robin Hanson on Twitter my $9k to his $1k that de novo AGI will arrive before ems. He wrote,