Hi ChristianKI, I was trying to find out from Pete what the winning would look like for the specific problems CFAR has in mind.
The causes in your links are very diverse, from biosecurity to AI risk. I ’d assumed that CFAR focused only on a couple of the most pressing problems. But I haven’t heard officially what problems CFAR wants to solve the most.
As far as I understand CFAR doesn’t focus on individual problems but on building the art of rationality. On the other hand GiveWell and 80000hours do focus on which areas it makes sense for people to invest effort.
The causes in your links are very diverse, from biosecurity to AI risk.
CFAR did specifically on AI risk with their summer workshop for CFAR but that in no way implies that biosafety isn’t important. Biosafety was multiple times rated the higher probability in the LW census and there also was a poll at the Singularity Summit a while ago that came to the same conclusion.
I would be surprised if CFAR doesn’t consider both of those pressing issues.
GiveWell’s list of causes might give you some idea of causes considered to be important: http://www.givewell.org/labs/causes
80000hours has a good list of various causes for which talent can be useful at https://80000hours.org/2015/11/why-you-should-focus-more-on-talent-gaps-not-funding-gaps/
Hi ChristianKI, I was trying to find out from Pete what the winning would look like for the specific problems CFAR has in mind.
The causes in your links are very diverse, from biosecurity to AI risk. I ’d assumed that CFAR focused only on a couple of the most pressing problems. But I haven’t heard officially what problems CFAR wants to solve the most.
As far as I understand CFAR doesn’t focus on individual problems but on building the art of rationality. On the other hand GiveWell and 80000hours do focus on which areas it makes sense for people to invest effort.
CFAR did specifically on AI risk with their summer workshop for CFAR but that in no way implies that biosafety isn’t important. Biosafety was multiple times rated the higher probability in the LW census and there also was a poll at the Singularity Summit a while ago that came to the same conclusion.
I would be surprised if CFAR doesn’t consider both of those pressing issues.