You are talking as if I am setting your probability that non-human animals are wrong.
You are arbitrarily selecting a number for the probability that animals suffer. This number can be chosen by you such that when multiplied by the number of animals people eat, it always results in the conclusion that the expected damage is enough that people should not eat animals.
This is similar to Pascal’s Mugging, except that you are choosing the smaller number instead of the larger number.
for any reasonable probability assignment, you get the conclusion that you shouldn’t eat non-human animals
This is not true. For instance, a probability assignment of 1/100000000 to the probability that animals suffer like humans would not lead to that conclusion. However, 1/100000000 falls outside the range that most people think of when they think of a small but finite probability, so it sounds unreasonable even though it is not.
You are arbitrarily selecting a number for the probability that animals suffer. This number can be chosen by you such that when multiplied by the number of animals people eat, it always results in the conclusion that the expected damage is enough that people should not eat animals.
This is similar to Pascal’s Mugging, except that you are choosing the smaller number instead of the larger number.
This is not true. For instance, a probability assignment of 1/100000000 to the probability that animals suffer like humans would not lead to that conclusion. However, 1/100000000 falls outside the range that most people think of when they think of a small but finite probability, so it sounds unreasonable even though it is not.