Thanks, for posting this! Funnily enough I was about to write up a similar post myself. I may still do so as I was intending to take a different route and link it to the Tuesday Problem, expanding on what I already wrote about it in this post. The reason why I believe that link is insightful is that it raises some of the same issues with reference classes, without a need for any anthropics or any indexicals.
Thanks, for posting this! Funnily enough I was about to write up a similar post myself. I may still do so as I was intending to take a different route and link it to the Tuesday Problem, expanding on what I already wrote about it in this post. The reason why I believe that link is insightful is that it raises some of the same issues with reference classes, without a need for any anthropics or any indexicals.