Here’s a guesstimate model I made to try and figure out when hospitals will become overwhelmed. Lots of model uncertainty here that I’d appreciate advice on, but the current prediction is that there will be a hospital bed for you if you get infected in the bay area within the next 6 days (95% confidence within the model: actual confidence is much lower).
Here’s a guesstimate model I made to try and figure out when hospitals will become overwhelmed. Lots of model uncertainty here that I’d appreciate advice on, but the current prediction is that there will be a hospital bed for you if you get infected in the bay area within the next 6 days (95% confidence within the model: actual confidence is much lower).
https://www.getguesstimate.com/models/15278
I’m super happy to see quantitative models, but moving this to comments because it doesn’t cash out into specific advice.