A non-obvious flaw in the model: the “number of days until you should work from home” distribution is using in its calculation samples from the “current dollar value per day of disease burden of attending work”, rather than the mean as it should. There’s no easy way to fix this, but this pushes that number lower. Note that this error doesn’t affect the calculation of whether I should stay home right now. [EDIT: but it does turn “wait a few months” into “wait a bit over a month”]
A non-obvious flaw in the model: the “number of days until you should work from home” distribution is using in its calculation samples from the “current dollar value per day of disease burden of attending work”, rather than the mean as it should. There’s no easy way to fix this, but this pushes that number lower. Note that this error doesn’t affect the calculation of whether I should stay home right now. [EDIT: but it does turn “wait a few months” into “wait a bit over a month”]