Only praise yourself as taking ‘the outside view’ if (1) there’s only one defensible choice of reference class;
I think this point is underrated. The word “the” in “the outside view” is sometimes doing too much work, and it is often better to appeal to an outside view, or multiple outside views.
I think this point is underrated. The word “the” in “the outside view” is sometimes doing too much work, and it is often better to appeal to an outside view, or multiple outside views.
lukeprog argued similarly that we should drop the “the”