In any case, whatever you say about probability, being surprised is something that happens in real life.
As someone who actually experienced in real life how it feels to awake from artifical coma having multiple days without memory in the past, I think your naive intuition about what would surprise has no basis.
Being surprised happens at system I level and system I has no notion of having been in an artificial coma.
If system I has no notion of being in an artificial coma, then there is no chance I would be surprised by either heads or tails, which supports my point.
No, system I considers it’s model of the world that the time passed was just the time of a normal sleep between two days. Anything that deviates from that is highly surprising.
As someone who actually experienced in real life how it feels to awake from artifical coma having multiple days without memory in the past, I think your naive intuition about what would surprise has no basis.
Being surprised happens at system I level and system I has no notion of having been in an artificial coma.
If system I has no notion of being in an artificial coma, then there is no chance I would be surprised by either heads or tails, which supports my point.
No, system I considers it’s model of the world that the time passed was just the time of a normal sleep between two days. Anything that deviates from that is highly surprising.