For people who find explicit Bayesian calculations about their own uncertainty useful (I don’t) this is a pretty ideal case; you calculate how much weight to assign to facts like “is professor at a respected university”; “was published in journal X”, “was paid by institute Y”. (See Gwern’s[?] example with the Death Note script)
For people who find explicit Bayesian calculations about their own uncertainty useful (I don’t) this is a pretty ideal case; you calculate how much weight to assign to facts like “is professor at a respected university”; “was published in journal X”, “was paid by institute Y”. (See Gwern’s[?] example with the Death Note script)