It depends at what rate the chance can be decreased. If it takes 50 years to shrink it from 1% to 0.1%, then with all the people that would die in that time, I’d probably be willing to risk it.
As of right now, even the most optimistic experts I’ve seen put p(doom) at much higher than 1% - far into the range where I vote to hit pause.
Any chance? A one in a million chance? 1e-12? At some point you should take the chance. What is your Faust parameter?
It depends at what rate the chance can be decreased. If it takes 50 years to shrink it from 1% to 0.1%, then with all the people that would die in that time, I’d probably be willing to risk it.
As of right now, even the most optimistic experts I’ve seen put p(doom) at much higher than 1% - far into the range where I vote to hit pause.