I don’t doubt that it’s a hard problem. I doubt that it’s inherently time consuming. There are mental barrier that you have to cross. Crossing those mental barries is hard.
If you want 250 new predictions/month here’s something you can do:
Install RescueTime.
For your the 10 most visited websites you make predictions about the upper limit for average time that you spend on those websites for the next week and the next month. You make predictions at the 10% 25%, 50% 75% and 90% level.
At the end of every week you make new predictions for the next week. At the end of every month you make predictions for the next month.
Coming up with the idea of using RescueTime as basis for prediction takes creativity. Is something that’s hard for most people. I spent several years thinking about the problem to come to a place where it doesn’t take much time for me to come up with predictions.
Actually making those prediction is not very time consuming. It takes a lot less time per prediction than the approach of browsing the various sites lukeprog proposes to look for interesting predictions.
I’ve also found that it’s hard to come up with predictions which are both well-specified and interesting.
I don’t doubt that it’s a hard problem. I doubt that it’s inherently time consuming. There are mental barrier that you have to cross. Crossing those mental barries is hard.
If you want 250 new predictions/month here’s something you can do:
Install RescueTime. For your the 10 most visited websites you make predictions about the upper limit for average time that you spend on those websites for the next week and the next month. You make predictions at the 10% 25%, 50% 75% and 90% level.
At the end of every week you make new predictions for the next week. At the end of every month you make predictions for the next month.
Coming up with the idea of using RescueTime as basis for prediction takes creativity. Is something that’s hard for most people. I spent several years thinking about the problem to come to a place where it doesn’t take much time for me to come up with predictions.
Actually making those prediction is not very time consuming. It takes a lot less time per prediction than the approach of browsing the various sites lukeprog proposes to look for interesting predictions.