Beliefs and predictions that influence wants may be false or miscalibrated, but the feeling itself, the want itself, just is what it is, the same way sensations of hunger or heat just are what they are.
I think this may be part of the disconnect between me and the article. I often view the short jolt preferences (that you get from seeing an ice-cream shop) as heuristics, as effectively predictions paired with some simpler preference for “sweet things that make me feel all homey and nice”. These heuristics can be trained to know how to weigh the costs, though I agree just having a “that’s irrational” / “that’s dumb” is a poor approach to it.
Other preferences, like “I prefer these people to be happy” are not short-jolts but rather thought about and endorsed values that would take quite a bit more to shift—but are also significantly influenced by beliefs too.
Other values like “I enjoy this aesthetic” seem more central to your argument than short-jolts or considered values.
This is why you could view a smoker’s preference for another cigarette as irrational: the ‘core want’ is just a simple preference for the general feel of smoking a cigarette, but the short-jolt preference has the added prediction of “and this will be good to do”. But that added prediction is false and inconsistent with everything they know. The usual statement of “you would regret this in the future”. Unfortunately, the short-jolt preference often has enough strength to get past the other preferences, which is why you want to downweight it.
So, I agree that there’s various preferences that having them is disentangled from whether you’re rational or not, but that I also think most preferences are quite entangled with predictions about reality.
“inconsistent preferences” only makes sense if you presume you’re a monolithic entity, or believe your “parts” need to all be in full agreement all the time… which I think very badly misunderstands how human brains work.
I agree that humans can’t manage this, but it does still make sense for a non-monolithic entity—You’d take there being an inconsistency as a sign that there’s a problem, which is what people tend to do, even if ti can’t be fixed.
I think this may be part of the disconnect between me and the article. I often view the short jolt preferences (that you get from seeing an ice-cream shop) as heuristics, as effectively predictions paired with some simpler preference for “sweet things that make me feel all homey and nice”. These heuristics can be trained to know how to weigh the costs, though I agree just having a “that’s irrational” / “that’s dumb” is a poor approach to it. Other preferences, like “I prefer these people to be happy” are not short-jolts but rather thought about and endorsed values that would take quite a bit more to shift—but are also significantly influenced by beliefs too.
Other values like “I enjoy this aesthetic” seem more central to your argument than short-jolts or considered values.
This is why you could view a smoker’s preference for another cigarette as irrational: the ‘core want’ is just a simple preference for the general feel of smoking a cigarette, but the short-jolt preference has the added prediction of “and this will be good to do”. But that added prediction is false and inconsistent with everything they know. The usual statement of “you would regret this in the future”. Unfortunately, the short-jolt preference often has enough strength to get past the other preferences, which is why you want to downweight it.
So, I agree that there’s various preferences that having them is disentangled from whether you’re rational or not, but that I also think most preferences are quite entangled with predictions about reality.
I agree that humans can’t manage this, but it does still make sense for a non-monolithic entity—You’d take there being an inconsistency as a sign that there’s a problem, which is what people tend to do, even if ti can’t be fixed.