I would start by trying to get calibrated generally, using something like the credence game. (You will probably start out not even able to be reliably confident in 90% likely statements).
I think there might be a better variant of the game available somewhere that someone has built in the past few years, but this what I could easily remember.
I would start by trying to get calibrated generally, using something like the credence game. (You will probably start out not even able to be reliably confident in 90% likely statements).
I think there might be a better variant of the game available somewhere that someone has built in the past few years, but this what I could easily remember.