Seems like what matters is “if you make 1000000 claims that you’re .999999 confident in, will you be right 999999 times?” Yes, insanity and brain farts could go in any direction, but it goes in sufficiently many directions (at least two) such that I bet you if you try to make a hundred 99.9999% confidence claims you’ll screw up at least once.
Seems like what matters is “if you make 1000000 claims that you’re .999999 confident in, will you be right 999999 times?” Yes, insanity and brain farts could go in any direction, but it goes in sufficiently many directions (at least two) such that I bet you if you try to make a hundred 99.9999% confidence claims you’ll screw up at least once.