...but you will disagree with me. And we are both aspiring rationalists, and therefore we resolve disagreements by experiments.
Your suggested experiment is good. But in this particular case, let’s also try to employ the power of positivist thinking on your thesis as a whole. That is, let’s break it up into a bunch of specific anticipations, and see what parts there is and isn’t disagreement on, before we try to resolve those disagreements. I’ll take my own stab at this with a number of short comments in a moment.
Your suggested experiment is good. But in this particular case, let’s also try to employ the power of positivist thinking on your thesis as a whole. That is, let’s break it up into a bunch of specific anticipations, and see what parts there is and isn’t disagreement on, before we try to resolve those disagreements. I’ll take my own stab at this with a number of short comments in a moment.