Are you asking for a p-zombie test? It should be theoretically possible, for any complex system and using appropriate tools, to tell what pattern recognition and word prediction is happening underneath, but I’m not sure it’s possible to go beyond that.
For a test that can give certainty to claims there’s something more than that going on somewhere in the LLM. Since the OP only indicated ~90% confidence.
Otherwise it’s hard to see how it can be definitely considered ‘consciousness’ in the typical sense we ascribe to e.g. other LW readers.
Is there a definitive test? Or any prospects of such in the foreseeable future?
Such that a well informed reader can be completely confident it’s not just very fancy pattern recognition and word prediction underneath…
Are you asking for a p-zombie test? It should be theoretically possible, for any complex system and using appropriate tools, to tell what pattern recognition and word prediction is happening underneath, but I’m not sure it’s possible to go beyond that.
For a test that can give certainty to claims there’s something more than that going on somewhere in the LLM. Since the OP only indicated ~90% confidence.
Otherwise it’s hard to see how it can be definitely considered ‘consciousness’ in the typical sense we ascribe to e.g. other LW readers.