But Eliezer was referring to predictions of “a few years” of warning (which I think is on the very short end, and he thinks is on the very long end).
My own range would be a few years to a decade, but I guess unlike you I don’t think that is enough warning time for the default scenario to turn out well. Does Eliezer think that would be enough time?
My own range would be a few years to a decade, but I guess unlike you I don’t think that is enough warning time for the default scenario to turn out well. Does Eliezer think that would be enough time?