There is a brief golden age of science before the newly low-hanging fruit are again plucked and it is only lightning fast in areas where thinking was the main bottleneck, e.g. not in medicine.
Not one of the main points of the post, but FWIW it seems to me that thinking could be considered the main bottleneck for medicine, if we can include simulation and modeling a la AlphaFold as thinking.
My guess is that with sufficient computation you could invent new treatments / drugs that are so overwhelmingly better than what we have now that regulatory or other bottlenecks would not be an issue. E.g. I expect a “slow aging by twenty years” pill would find its way around the FDA and onto the market pretty quickly (years not decades) if it actually worked.
Not one of the main points of the post, but FWIW it seems to me that thinking could be considered the main bottleneck for medicine, if we can include simulation and modeling a la AlphaFold as thinking.
My guess is that with sufficient computation you could invent new treatments / drugs that are so overwhelmingly better than what we have now that regulatory or other bottlenecks would not be an issue. E.g. I expect a “slow aging by twenty years” pill would find its way around the FDA and onto the market pretty quickly (years not decades) if it actually worked.