Indeed, if both Alice and Omega know that Alice’s decision-making will tell her to use the 1-boxer strategy, then Alice will know she will gain $1M
and
In both cases, her counterfactual optimization urged her to be a 2-boxer
feel like the crux to me.
If Alice was such a person to listen to the counterfactual optimization, then both Alice and Omega would not know she would 1box. There is a contradiction being buried in there.
Really well written and thought out.
and
feel like the crux to me.
If Alice was such a person to listen to the counterfactual optimization, then both Alice and Omega would not know she would 1box. There is a contradiction being buried in there.