Hmm. I’ll have to learn a bit more about the actual theory and math behind Bayes’ theorem before I can really go deeper than this in my analysis without spouting out stuff that I don’t even know if it’s true. My intuitive understanding is that there’s a mathematical process that would perfectly explain the discrepancy with minimal unnecessary assumptions, but that’s just intuition.
For now, I’ll simply update my beliefs according to the evidence you’re giving me / confidence that you’re right vs confidence (or lack thereof) in my own understanding of the situation.
Hmm. I’ll have to learn a bit more about the actual theory and math behind Bayes’ theorem before I can really go deeper than this in my analysis without spouting out stuff that I don’t even know if it’s true. My intuitive understanding is that there’s a mathematical process that would perfectly explain the discrepancy with minimal unnecessary assumptions, but that’s just intuition.
For now, I’ll simply update my beliefs according to the evidence you’re giving me / confidence that you’re right vs confidence (or lack thereof) in my own understanding of the situation.