I think that there isn’t just one bag of people breaking rules, and some number of the marbles in that bag are “for good reasons” and some number “for bad reasons.” I think there are clusters, and types, and certain kinds of rule-breaking are predictive of other kinds of rule-breaking.
I think that me not wearing shoes at university is evidence that I might also disdain sports, but not evidence that I might steal.
I think that trying to think in terms of “for bad reasons” and “for good reasons” as two flavors in one bucket is likely to lead one to make wrong updates. Like, the model is oversimplified and causes fearful swerves.
I think that there isn’t just one bag of people breaking rules, and some number of the marbles in that bag are “for good reasons” and some number “for bad reasons.” I think there are clusters, and types, and certain kinds of rule-breaking are predictive of other kinds of rule-breaking.
I think that me not wearing shoes at university is evidence that I might also disdain sports, but not evidence that I might steal.
I think that trying to think in terms of “for bad reasons” and “for good reasons” as two flavors in one bucket is likely to lead one to make wrong updates. Like, the model is oversimplified and causes fearful swerves.