J. Kyle Bass gave a talk that made me update in the direction of China being serious about taking step to take over Taiwan in the near future:
They probably will lose a conventional war against the US. This is my current assessment after a moderate amount of research into the topic.
Agree. They probably lose a nuclear war against the US, too, ending with US forces occupying all their seaports or at least imposing such an effective naval blockade that they might as well be occupying the ports.
I guess both countries would lose a nuclear war, if for a weird reason we’d really have one between US and CN
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J. Kyle Bass gave a talk that made me update in the direction of China being serious about taking step to take over Taiwan in the near future:
They probably will lose a conventional war against the US. This is my current assessment after a moderate amount of research into the topic.
Agree. They probably lose a nuclear war against the US, too, ending with US forces occupying all their seaports or at least imposing such an effective naval blockade that they might as well be occupying the ports.
I guess both countries would lose a nuclear war, if for a weird reason we’d really have one between US and CN