The post concerns self-confirming predictions. The donor asked for a prediction of how much money they’ll give you...after they hear your prediction. A prediction you give them would be “self-confirming” if they gave you the amount you specified. Here “prediction” refers to “the amount you tell them”, as opposed to the amount
The post concerns self-confirming predictions. The donor asked for a prediction of how much money they’ll give you...after they hear your prediction. A prediction you give them would be “self-confirming” if they gave you the amount you specified. Here “prediction” refers to “the amount you tell them”, as opposed to the amount
which no one other than you actually knows.