Doesn’t engage with the post’s arguments.
I think that it’s wrong to assume that the prior on ‘short’ vs ‘long’ timelines should be 50⁄50.
I think that it’s wrong to just rely on a prior, when it seems like one could obtain relevant evidence.
Doesn’t engage with the post’s arguments.
I think that it’s wrong to assume that the prior on ‘short’ vs ‘long’ timelines should be 50⁄50.
I think that it’s wrong to just rely on a prior, when it seems like one could obtain relevant evidence.