Is there a reason you need to do 50 year plans before you can do 10 year plans? I’d expect the opposite to be true.
I think you do need to learn how to make plans that can actually work, at all, before you learn how to make plans with very limited resources.
And I think that people fall into the habit of making “plans”, that they don’t inner sim actually leading to success, because they condition themselves into thinking that things are desperate and the best action will only be the best action “in expected value” eg that the “right” action should look like a moonshot.
This seems concerning to me. It seems like you should be, first and foremost, figuring out how you can get any plan that works at all, and then secondarily, trying to figure out how to make it work in the time allotted. Actual, multi-step strategy shouldn’t mostly feel like “thinking up some moon-shots”.
I think you do need to learn how to make plans that can actually work, at all, before you learn how to make plans with very limited resources.
And I think that people fall into the habit of making “plans”, that they don’t inner sim actually leading to success, because they condition themselves into thinking that things are desperate and the best action will only be the best action “in expected value” eg that the “right” action should look like a moonshot.
This seems concerning to me. It seems like you should be, first and foremost, figuring out how you can get any plan that works at all, and then secondarily, trying to figure out how to make it work in the time allotted. Actual, multi-step strategy shouldn’t mostly feel like “thinking up some moon-shots”.