I think this makes sense. The main things that make my probabilities still fairly high for success:
1. It doesn’t seem super complicated to keep the basic functionality going. I haven’t looked into it much, but IIUC basically you just keep putting liquid nitrogen in the dewars, and LN is not expensive or hard to produce.
2. Probably economic and technological progress is going to accelerate this century, implying more material and technological abundance, meaning that cryopreservation will be less difficult and won’t need to be for too long.
3. Part of the point of my post is to discuss the dynamic that results from people saying “Oh, well, most everyone else doesn’t want X, so X won’t succeed, so I will not act as though X will succeed”, but where this is actually a false lack of Hope. Of course, it could be a correct lack of Hope; but there’s self-reinforcing dynamics here, so I want to point out to you that “what society thinks” has some non-determinacy in it, i.e. you and people like you can to some extent in some ways choose what society thinks.
I think this makes sense. The main things that make my probabilities still fairly high for success:
1. It doesn’t seem super complicated to keep the basic functionality going. I haven’t looked into it much, but IIUC basically you just keep putting liquid nitrogen in the dewars, and LN is not expensive or hard to produce.
2. Probably economic and technological progress is going to accelerate this century, implying more material and technological abundance, meaning that cryopreservation will be less difficult and won’t need to be for too long.
3. Part of the point of my post is to discuss the dynamic that results from people saying “Oh, well, most everyone else doesn’t want X, so X won’t succeed, so I will not act as though X will succeed”, but where this is actually a false lack of Hope. Of course, it could be a correct lack of Hope; but there’s self-reinforcing dynamics here, so I want to point out to you that “what society thinks” has some non-determinacy in it, i.e. you and people like you can to some extent in some ways choose what society thinks.