Thomas comments on New Year’s Predictions Thread (2011)

Thomas 3 Jan 2011 13:04 UTC
2 points
How confident are you, that they are underconfident? Each one?
- Will_Sawin 3 Jan 2011 15:57 UTC
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  My estimates are 95% Riemann in a year, 97.5% GAI in a year
  - wedrifid 3 Jan 2011 16:01 UTC
    3 points
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    My estimates are 95% Riemann in a year, 97.5% GAI in a year
    
    This looks rather odd with no context quoted! :P
    - Will_Sawin 3 Jan 2011 17:23 UTC
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      I bet Eliezer really, really, really hopes I’m overconfident about THAT one.
  - timtyler 3 Jan 2011 17:35 UTC
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    Missing NOTs!