Honestly this does seem… possible. A disagreement on whether GPT-5 counts as AGI would have this effect. The most safety minded would go “ok, this is AGI, we can’t give it to Microsoft”. The more business oriented and less conservative would go “no, this isn’t AGI yet, it’ll make us a fuckton of money though”. There would be conflict. But for example seeing how now everyone might switch to Microsoft and simply rebuild the thing from scratch there, Ilya despairs and decides to do a 180 because at least this way he gets to supervise the work somehow.
Honestly this does seem… possible. A disagreement on whether GPT-5 counts as AGI would have this effect. The most safety minded would go “ok, this is AGI, we can’t give it to Microsoft”. The more business oriented and less conservative would go “no, this isn’t AGI yet, it’ll make us a fuckton of money though”. There would be conflict. But for example seeing how now everyone might switch to Microsoft and simply rebuild the thing from scratch there, Ilya despairs and decides to do a 180 because at least this way he gets to supervise the work somehow.