The recent trend is towards shorter lag times between OAI et al. performance and Chinese competitors.
Just today, Deepseek claimed to match O1-preview performance—that is a two month delay.
I do not know about CCP intent, and I don’t know on what basis the authors of this report base their claims, but “China is racing towards AGI … It’s critical that we take them extremely seriously” strikes me as a fair summary of the recent trend in model quality and model quantity from Chinese companies (Deepseek, Qwen, Yi, Stepfun, etc.)
I recommend lmarena.ai s leaderboard tab as a one-stop-shop overview of the state of AI competition.
Claiming that China as a country is racing toward AGI != Chinese AI companies aren’t fast following US AI companies, which are explicitly trying to build AGI. This is a big distinction!
Chinese companies explicitly have a rule not to release things that are ahead of SOTA (I’ve seen comments of the form “trying to convince my boss this isn’t SOTA so we can release it” on github repos). So “publicly release Chinese models are always slightly behind American ones” doesn’t prove much.
The recent trend is towards shorter lag times between OAI et al. performance and Chinese competitors.
Just today, Deepseek claimed to match O1-preview performance—that is a two month delay.
I do not know about CCP intent, and I don’t know on what basis the authors of this report base their claims, but “China is racing towards AGI … It’s critical that we take them extremely seriously” strikes me as a fair summary of the recent trend in model quality and model quantity from Chinese companies (Deepseek, Qwen, Yi, Stepfun, etc.)
I recommend lmarena.ai s leaderboard tab as a one-stop-shop overview of the state of AI competition.
Claiming that China as a country is racing toward AGI != Chinese AI companies aren’t fast following US AI companies, which are explicitly trying to build AGI. This is a big distinction!
Chinese companies explicitly have a rule not to release things that are ahead of SOTA (I’ve seen comments of the form “trying to convince my boss this isn’t SOTA so we can release it” on github repos). So “publicly release Chinese models are always slightly behind American ones” doesn’t prove much.