My best guess is that Xi feels that adding a P100 mandate would be too much for the Chinese people to bear, while providing little marginal benefit on top of existing measures. It would only be worthwhile if it meant a substantial reduction in movement restrictions, testing mandates, and the amount of time people spent in quarantine and that cities spent locked down.
Xi has a policy that’s working to achieve his stated aims now. The benefit of switching to a P100-based approach is hypothetical.
Plausibly, he could order a P100-based experiment in a few smaller Chinese cities. It would be really hard to know if it was working, since China currently isn’t getting that much COVID. If a city switches to P100s and doesn’t get COVID outbreaks, is that because the P100s work just as well, or because they’re benefitting from the testing-and-lockdowns regime in the rest of the country?
My best guess is that Xi feels that adding a P100 mandate would be too much for the Chinese people to bear, while providing little marginal benefit on top of existing measures. It would only be worthwhile if it meant a substantial reduction in movement restrictions, testing mandates, and the amount of time people spent in quarantine and that cities spent locked down.
Xi has a policy that’s working to achieve his stated aims now. The benefit of switching to a P100-based approach is hypothetical.
Plausibly, he could order a P100-based experiment in a few smaller Chinese cities. It would be really hard to know if it was working, since China currently isn’t getting that much COVID. If a city switches to P100s and doesn’t get COVID outbreaks, is that because the P100s work just as well, or because they’re benefitting from the testing-and-lockdowns regime in the rest of the country?