As Hubei made up 75% of cases in the time period I was looking at the rates here are more reflective of Hubei. I did it like this mainly because that was the easiest data to get hold of!
I did find a paper after I wrote this which broke Hubei down into subcategories and roughly the same pattern was still there.
Your question “I’m not sure why Hong Kong have bucked the trend or whether there is something odd about their reporting” has an obvious answer. You are assuming the COVID-19 will spread. Hong Kong is the exception. The virus fails to spread ! Total cases = import cases + spread cases. The majority of the cases in Hong Kong are import cases and there are very few spread cases ! Hong Kong citizens were well trained during the SARS epidemic way back in 2003. Everybody in the streets wear face masks ! They have been snapping up all the face masks in the world ! If you visit the blog again and look at the last photo, these are masks from : (clockwise) Thailand, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, cloth, United Kingdom. As a result, spreading only takes place within the family and stops there !
Thanks for the graph.
As Hubei made up 75% of cases in the time period I was looking at the rates here are more reflective of Hubei. I did it like this mainly because that was the easiest data to get hold of!
I did find a paper after I wrote this which broke Hubei down into subcategories and roughly the same pattern was still there.
Your question “I’m not sure why Hong Kong have bucked the trend or whether there is something odd about their reporting” has an obvious answer. You are assuming the COVID-19 will spread. Hong Kong is the exception. The virus fails to spread ! Total cases = import cases + spread cases. The majority of the cases in Hong Kong are import cases and there are very few spread cases ! Hong Kong citizens were well trained during the SARS epidemic way back in 2003. Everybody in the streets wear face masks ! They have been snapping up all the face masks in the world ! If you visit the blog again and look at the last photo, these are masks from : (clockwise) Thailand, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, cloth, United Kingdom. As a result, spreading only takes place within the family and stops there !