Another solution would be to accept being wrong—but I often get the impression that these sorts of things lead to people being wrong a lot.
Ideally, of course, you are always properly calibrated. In the real world, one solution might be thinking of it as your first and second order prediction, or Believing vs. understanding or a framing like in confidence all the way up.
Ideally, of course, you are always properly calibrated. In the real world, one solution might be thinking of it as your first and second order prediction, or Believing vs. understanding or a framing like in confidence all the way up.