Reflexively check both sides of the proposed probability of an event:
“What do I think about P(DOOM) = 81%?”
and
“What do I think about P(~DOOM) = 19%?”
This can often elicit feedback from parts of you that would stay silent if you only considered one way of stating the probability in question.
Reflexively check both sides of the proposed probability of an event:
and
This can often elicit feedback from parts of you that would stay silent if you only considered one way of stating the probability in question.