I’m somewhat unsure how likely AGI is to be built with a neuromorphic architecture though.
I’m not sure what probability people on this forum would put on brain-inspired AGI. I personally would put >50%, but this seems quite a bit higher than other people on this forum, judging by how little brain algorithms are discussed here compared to prosaic (stereotypical PyTorch / Tensorflow-type) ML. Or maybe the explanation is something else, e.g. maybe people feel like they don’t have any tractable directions for progress in that scenario (or just don’t know enough to comment), or maybe they have radically different ideas than me about how the brain works and therefore don’t distinguish between prosaic AGI and brain-inspired AGI.
Understanding brain algorithms is a research program that thousands of geniuses are working on night and day, right now, as we speak, and the conclusion of the research program is guaranteed to be AGI. That seems like a pretty good reason to put at least some weight on it! I put even more weight on it because I’ve worked a lot on trying to understand how the neocortical algorithm works, and I don’t think that the algorithm is all that complicated (cf. “cortical uniformity”), and I think that ongoing work is zeroing in on it (see here).
I’m not sure what probability people on this forum would put on brain-inspired AGI. I personally would put >50%, but this seems quite a bit higher than other people on this forum, judging by how little brain algorithms are discussed here compared to prosaic (stereotypical PyTorch / Tensorflow-type) ML. Or maybe the explanation is something else, e.g. maybe people feel like they don’t have any tractable directions for progress in that scenario (or just don’t know enough to comment), or maybe they have radically different ideas than me about how the brain works and therefore don’t distinguish between prosaic AGI and brain-inspired AGI.
Understanding brain algorithms is a research program that thousands of geniuses are working on night and day, right now, as we speak, and the conclusion of the research program is guaranteed to be AGI. That seems like a pretty good reason to put at least some weight on it! I put even more weight on it because I’ve worked a lot on trying to understand how the neocortical algorithm works, and I don’t think that the algorithm is all that complicated (cf. “cortical uniformity”), and I think that ongoing work is zeroing in on it (see here).