The US Natsec community (which is probably decentralized and not a “deep state”) has a very strong interest in accelerating AI faster than China and Russia e.g. for use in military hardware like cruise missiles, economic growth in an era of technological stagnation, and for defending/counteracting/mitigating SOTA foreign influence operations e.g. Russian botnets that use AI and user data for targeted manipulation. Current-gen AI is pretty well known to be highly valuable for these uses.
This is what makes “the super dangerous people who already badly want AI” one major hypothesis, but not at all the default explanation. Considering who seems to be benefiting the most, Microsoft (which AFAIK probably has the strongest ties to the military out of the big 5 tech companies), this is pretty clearly worth consideration.
This does seem vastly more likely. Why would “the deep state” be anti-EA or anti-AI safety? Or organizing complex shenanigans to pursue those values?
I never attribute to malice what is explainable by foolishness.
The US Natsec community (which is probably decentralized and not a “deep state”) has a very strong interest in accelerating AI faster than China and Russia e.g. for use in military hardware like cruise missiles, economic growth in an era of technological stagnation, and for defending/counteracting/mitigating SOTA foreign influence operations e.g. Russian botnets that use AI and user data for targeted manipulation. Current-gen AI is pretty well known to be highly valuable for these uses.
This is what makes “the super dangerous people who already badly want AI” one major hypothesis, but not at all the default explanation. Considering who seems to be benefiting the most, Microsoft (which AFAIK probably has the strongest ties to the military out of the big 5 tech companies), this is pretty clearly worth consideration.
The US NatSec community doesn’t know that the US (and Britain) are with probability = .99 at least 8 years ahead of China and Russia in AI?