Indeed, I believe this is the main explanation for why my median timelines are longer than say situational awareness, and why AI isn’t nearly as impactful as people used to think back in the day.
The big difference from a lot of skeptics is I believe this adds at most 1-2 decades to the timeline, not multiple decades to make AI very, very useful.
Indeed, I believe this is the main explanation for why my median timelines are longer than say situational awareness, and why AI isn’t nearly as impactful as people used to think back in the day.
The big difference from a lot of skeptics is I believe this adds at most 1-2 decades to the timeline, not multiple decades to make AI very, very useful.
Yeah TBC, I’m at even less than 1-2 decades added, more like 1-5 years.