On the flip side, I believe that a lot of readers believe that “Pascal’s Mugging” type arguments are sufficient to establish that a particular giving opportunity is outstanding. I don’t believe the OP believes this.
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My current working theory is that proponents of “Pascal’s Mugging” type arguments tend to neglect the “flow-through effects” of accomplishing good.
Still might be the thing Holden Karnofsky refers to in the following passages:
And yet remains clearly not the thing that is talked about by either Eliezer or your actual comment.
If it is valuable to make the observation that Holden really isn’t referring to what Eliezer assumes he is then by all means make that point instead of the one you made.
Not a Pascal’s Mugging.
Still might be the thing Holden Karnofsky refers to in the following passages:
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And yet remains clearly not the thing that is talked about by either Eliezer or your actual comment.
If it is valuable to make the observation that Holden really isn’t referring to what Eliezer assumes he is then by all means make that point instead of the one you made.