I’m having a bit of a hard time reconstructing my meaning from two years ago I’m afraid! Clearly it does violate conservation of expected evidence, so I can only think that it’s offered as a way to combat overconfidence bias than actually meant as a way that a ideal reasoner would update on the evidence. Or I’m just trying too hard to sound clever...
I’m having a bit of a hard time reconstructing my meaning from two years ago I’m afraid! Clearly it does violate conservation of expected evidence, so I can only think that it’s offered as a way to combat overconfidence bias than actually meant as a way that a ideal reasoner would update on the evidence. Or I’m just trying too hard to sound clever...