G. Overall deaths from everything have been very unusually high at points in 2021, even in 15-64 age group
Yes, all-cause mortality is up. We should look at all-cause mortality because it’s what we care about, but when reasoning about causes, we should break it down by causes. Not all causes are up. The insurance executive says that young people are dying of random things months after covid. I’m happy to attribute unexplained deaths to the long-term effects of covid. But first you have to check that they don’t have obvious explanations. The numbers I’ve seen is that it’s mostly fentanyl. I’m pretty sure that’s not covid. It might be lockdown, but I think it’s just the continuing expansion of fentanyl (though that had flattened out for a couple years before the pandemic).
Yes, all-cause mortality is up. We should look at all-cause mortality because it’s what we care about, but when reasoning about causes, we should break it down by causes. Not all causes are up. The insurance executive says that young people are dying of random things months after covid. I’m happy to attribute unexplained deaths to the long-term effects of covid. But first you have to check that they don’t have obvious explanations. The numbers I’ve seen is that it’s mostly fentanyl. I’m pretty sure that’s not covid. It might be lockdown, but I think it’s just the continuing expansion of fentanyl (though that had flattened out for a couple years before the pandemic).