I think that assumption is inaccurate, and is becoming more inaccurate over time. Lockdown is also hard on people and contributes to the excess deaths.
One possible component e.g. drug overdose deaths, with an increase of 31% from 2019 to 2020 (it will be interesting to see, how the numbers for 2021 are). CDC
CDC data seems to suggest that 269,014 excess deaths (select “Total number above average by cause”) aren’t due to covid out of a total of 952,707 total excess deaths (select “Number of Excess Deaths”). That means 72% (most) might be covid-caused.
It looks like those deaths are “with covid” not necessarily “due to covid”. I think that was a reasonable approximation at first, but it makes it a bad tool for tracking when covid becomes less dangerous and more widespread.
However the fact that excess deaths are spiking with covid prevalence is pretty suggestive.
I think that assumption is inaccurate, and is becoming more inaccurate over time. Lockdown is also hard on people and contributes to the excess deaths.
One possible component e.g. drug overdose deaths, with an increase of 31% from 2019 to 2020 (it will be interesting to see, how the numbers for 2021 are). CDC
CDC data seems to suggest that 269,014 excess deaths (select “Total number above average by cause”) aren’t due to covid out of a total of 952,707 total excess deaths (select “Number of Excess Deaths”). That means 72% (most) might be covid-caused.
It looks like those deaths are “with covid” not necessarily “due to covid”. I think that was a reasonable approximation at first, but it makes it a bad tool for tracking when covid becomes less dangerous and more widespread.
However the fact that excess deaths are spiking with covid prevalence is pretty suggestive.