i.e. if each forecaster w∈W has an first-order belief f(w)∈B(S), and w∈B(S) is your second-order belief about which forecaster is correct, then (w⊳WSf)∈B(S) should be your first-order belief about the election.
I think there might be a typo here. Did you instead mean to write: “w∈B(W)” for the second order beliefs about the forecasters?
I think there might be a typo here. Did you instead mean to write: “w∈B(W)” for the second order beliefs about the forecasters?