What puzzles me is why there hasn’t been an attempt to get a lot of rationally thinking people together and work on solving the problems of taking luck into acount, building a network of people in needed positions, speeding up the process...?
If you’ve got some brilliant idea, why don’t you implement it? Complaining that someone else should do it could makes things worse:
Humans tend to be especially interested in implementing ideas they have themselves. If you tell someone else about your idea, there’s no chance of them having independently and getting excited about working on it. If you’re not actually going to do anything, you might want to just share the groundwork for the idea without mentioning the idea itself, or deliberately describe the idea in crippled form. That way, someone else can come along, have the idea, and get inspired to work on it.
I’m not complaining.
Does ‘getting together as a group of intelligent, rationality embracing humans, and brainstorming ideas with shared powers’ count as such an idea as what you are talking about?
In any case, your idea sounds great to me. There are already attempts to do this in informal conversations, and through the existential risk career network:
But I’m sure we can do much better! In particular, the existential risks career network isn’t terribly active and could probably be improved. If you have suggestions, you could work with FrankAdamek; it’s his brainchild.
Luck, networking/who you know, and time are all very, very important.
What puzzles me is why there hasn’t been an attempt to get a lot of rationally thinking people together and work on solving the problems of taking luck into acount, building a network of people in needed positions, speeding up the process...?
If you’ve got some brilliant idea, why don’t you implement it? Complaining that someone else should do it could makes things worse:
Humans tend to be especially interested in implementing ideas they have themselves. If you tell someone else about your idea, there’s no chance of them having independently and getting excited about working on it. If you’re not actually going to do anything, you might want to just share the groundwork for the idea without mentioning the idea itself, or deliberately describe the idea in crippled form. That way, someone else can come along, have the idea, and get inspired to work on it.
I’m not complaining. Does ‘getting together as a group of intelligent, rationality embracing humans, and brainstorming ideas with shared powers’ count as such an idea as what you are talking about?
I’m not sure exactly what you’re asking.
In any case, your idea sounds great to me. There are already attempts to do this in informal conversations, and through the existential risk career network:
http://www.xrisknetwork.com/
But I’m sure we can do much better! In particular, the existential risks career network isn’t terribly active and could probably be improved. If you have suggestions, you could work with FrankAdamek; it’s his brainchild.