I realized as I was writing this that the overshoot is kind of like AIDS or aging—it doesn’t kill you directly, just predisposes you toward things that will.
I’ll edit it so the union of the whole set of conditional-on-overshoot disasters plus “other” is the likelihood of overshoot itself.
I realized as I was writing this that the overshoot is kind of like AIDS or aging—it doesn’t kill you directly, just predisposes you toward things that will.
I’ll edit it so the union of the whole set of conditional-on-overshoot disasters plus “other” is the likelihood of overshoot itself.
OK then, you put forward an estimate: an overshoot is very likely. Now what makes you think so?