To clarify: it’s not a lot of evidence that people say “yeah this thing is going to be great and we’ll work on it a lot”, in response to the very post where it was announced, only a few days afterward.
Like, I’d happily go to a bitcoin/Tesla party and take lots of bets against bitcoin/Tesla. I expect those places would give me some of the most generous odds for those bets.
Also it’s some evidence habryka predicted it, but man, people in general are notoriously bad at predicting how much they’ll get done with their time, so it’s certainly not super strong.
(That being said, I think this integration is awesome and kudos to everyone. Just keeping my priors sensible :)
To clarify: it’s not a lot of evidence that people say “yeah this thing is going to be great and we’ll work on it a lot”, in response to the very post where it was announced, only a few days afterward.
Like, I’d happily go to a bitcoin/Tesla party and take lots of bets against bitcoin/Tesla. I expect those places would give me some of the most generous odds for those bets.
Also it’s some evidence habryka predicted it, but man, people in general are notoriously bad at predicting how much they’ll get done with their time, so it’s certainly not super strong.
(That being said, I think this integration is awesome and kudos to everyone. Just keeping my priors sensible :)
I do not endorse this as a way to end parentheticals! Grrr!
You must understand—we have to ration our usage of parentheses, lest our strategic reserve again fails us in time of need…