Upvoted for noticing the connection between Simpson’s paradox and CDT vs TDT. It’s new to me, at least. To recap: CDT beats TDT for each single past history, but TDT wins in aggregate over all past histories.
Well, they’d say if you can’t change it you can’t decide it.
Anyway, my point is that it’s not that they figure that if it’s better when box A is full, and better when box A is empty, so it must be better under all the conditions. If it was that, they’d think that EDT and TDT give the same results, and would start using TDT when this error is pointed out.
The reason they do it is that they assume that the problem when box A is full, and when it’s empty, are essentially two different problems. You don’t know which you’re in, but they have the same solution anyway. The reason EDT- and TDTists do better is that they’re arbitrarily given more money, and CDTists would do better if omega decided to give extra money if you were a CDTist.
Upvoted for noticing the connection between Simpson’s paradox and CDT vs TDT. It’s new to me, at least. To recap: CDT beats TDT for each single past history, but TDT wins in aggregate over all past histories.
It’s not Simpson’s paradox. CDT just figures you can’t change the past, and you might as well take advantage of that fact when making decisions.
TDT doesn’t think you can change the past either. TDT behaves as if it decides the past, which it does.
Well, they’d say if you can’t change it you can’t decide it.
Anyway, my point is that it’s not that they figure that if it’s better when box A is full, and better when box A is empty, so it must be better under all the conditions. If it was that, they’d think that EDT and TDT give the same results, and would start using TDT when this error is pointed out.
The reason they do it is that they assume that the problem when box A is full, and when it’s empty, are essentially two different problems. You don’t know which you’re in, but they have the same solution anyway. The reason EDT- and TDTists do better is that they’re arbitrarily given more money, and CDTists would do better if omega decided to give extra money if you were a CDTist.