“For “specific numbers”, for example, look at the well-documented growth of the computer industry since the 1950s.”
You would need to show how to interpret those numbers applied to the AI foom.
I’d rather see a model for AI foom built from the ground up, and ranges of reasonable values posited, and validated in some way.
This is a lot of work, but after several years working on the problem, it’s one that ought to have a preliminary answer.
“For “specific numbers”, for example, look at the well-documented growth of the computer industry since the 1950s.”
You would need to show how to interpret those numbers applied to the AI foom.
I’d rather see a model for AI foom built from the ground up, and ranges of reasonable values posited, and validated in some way.
This is a lot of work, but after several years working on the problem, it’s one that ought to have a preliminary answer.