Much of this seems quite plausible and matches my experience, but it seems worded slightly overconfidently. Like, maybe 5 to 10% at most. Lots of points where I went, “well, in your experience, you mean. And also, like, in mine. But I don’t think either of us know enough to assert this is always how it goes.” I’ve had issues in the past from taking posts like this a bit too seriously when someone sounded highly confident, so I’m just flagging—this seems like a good insight but I’d guess the model as described is less general than it sounds, and I couldn’t tell you exactly how much less general off the top of my head.
But also, it’s a pattern I’ve noticed as well, and have found to be incredibly useful to be aware of. So, weak upvoted.
Much of this seems quite plausible and matches my experience, but it seems worded slightly overconfidently. Like, maybe 5 to 10% at most. Lots of points where I went, “well, in your experience, you mean. And also, like, in mine. But I don’t think either of us know enough to assert this is always how it goes.” I’ve had issues in the past from taking posts like this a bit too seriously when someone sounded highly confident, so I’m just flagging—this seems like a good insight but I’d guess the model as described is less general than it sounds, and I couldn’t tell you exactly how much less general off the top of my head.
But also, it’s a pattern I’ve noticed as well, and have found to be incredibly useful to be aware of. So, weak upvoted.